Natural population growth rate (births minus deaths, excluding migration)
Natural population growth rate in 2023, measured as births minus deaths per 1,000 people (excluding migration), based on UN World Population Prospects.
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Key Insights
- •A growing number of countries show natural decrease (negative values), reflecting low fertility and population aging.
- •Several Sahel and Central African countries have very high natural increase driven by high fertility and young age structures.
- •Countries can have near-zero natural growth even with rising life expectancy if fertility is low (births roughly equal deaths).
- •Natural increase differs from total population change when migration is large (e.g., Gulf states).
Country Rankings
Top 10 Countries
Bottom 10 Countries
Data Analysis
Value Distribution
How countries are distributed across the value range
Regional Comparison
Average values by world region (Global avg: 10.2per 1,000 people)
About This Statistic
This statistic measures a country’s “natural increase” (or decrease): the crude birth rate minus the crude death rate, expressed per 1,000 population. It excludes net migration, so it highlights how much population change is driven purely by fertility and mortality.
A positive value indicates population growth from natural increase; a negative value means deaths exceed births (natural decrease), a demographic pattern increasingly common in aging societies. Because it is a net of two crude rates, it is sensitive to age structure (e.g., older populations tend to have higher crude death rates even with good health systems).
Full Data
| Rank ↑ | Country ↕ | Value ↕ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niger | 38.8per 1,000 people |
| 2 | Chad | 35.1per 1,000 people |
| 3 | Madagascar | 33.7per 1,000 people |
| 4 | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 31.7per 1,000 people |
| 5 | Burundi | 30.9per 1,000 people |
| 6 | Mali | 30.8per 1,000 people |
| 7 | Zambia | 30.6per 1,000 people |
| 8 | Malawi | 30.1per 1,000 people |
| 9 | Republic of the Congo | 29.8per 1,000 people |
| 10 | Mozambique | 28.7per 1,000 people |
| 11 | United Republic of Tanzania | 28.6per 1,000 people |
| 12 | Somalia | 28.3per 1,000 people |
| 13 | Uganda | 28.0per 1,000 people |
| 14 | Cote d'Ivoire | 27.8per 1,000 people |
| 15 | Benin | 27.4per 1,000 people |
| 16 | Republic of The Gambia | 27.0per 1,000 people |
| 17 | South Sudan | 26.9per 1,000 people |
| 18 | Ethiopia | 26.8per 1,000 people |
| 19 | Togo | 26.7per 1,000 people |
| 20 | Cameroon | 26.4per 1,000 people |
| 21 | Nigeria | 26.1per 1,000 people |
| 22 | Rwanda | 26.0per 1,000 people |
| 23 | Sierra Leone | 25.9per 1,000 people |
| 24 | Guinea | 25.3per 1,000 people |
| 25 | Yemen | 24.9per 1,000 people |
| 26 | Angola | 24.7per 1,000 people |
| 27 | Gabon | 24.5per 1,000 people |
| 28 | Central African Republic | 24.2per 1,000 people |
| 29 | Senegal | 23.6per 1,000 people |
| 30 | Sudan | 22.9per 1,000 people |
| 31 | Tajikistan | 22.4per 1,000 people |
| 32 | Uzbekistan | 21.9per 1,000 people |
| 33 | Djibouti | 21.6per 1,000 people |
| 34 | Pakistan | 21.4per 1,000 people |
| 35 | Eritrea | 21.1per 1,000 people |
| 36 | Kenya | 21.0per 1,000 people |
| 37 | Namibia | 20.8per 1,000 people |
| 38 | Mauritania | 20.7per 1,000 people |
| 39 | Bahrain | 20.6per 1,000 people |
| 40 | Ghana | 20.3per 1,000 people |
| 41 | Syrian Arab Republic | 20.0per 1,000 people |
| 42 | Bolivia | 19.9per 1,000 people |
| 43 | Belize | 19.6per 1,000 people |
| 44 | Lao People's Democratic Republic | 19.4per 1,000 people |
| 45 | Papua New Guinea | 19.1per 1,000 people |
| 46 | Guatemala | 18.2per 1,000 people |
| 47 | Jordan | 18.1per 1,000 people |
| 48 | Mongolia | 17.9per 1,000 people |
| 49 | Brunei Darussalam | 17.8per 1,000 people |
| 50 | Turkmenistan | 17.5per 1,000 people |
| 51 | Iraq | 17.3per 1,000 people |
| 52 | Nicaragua | 17.0per 1,000 people |
| 53 | Egypt | 16.4per 1,000 people |
| 54 | Kyrgyzstan | 16.2per 1,000 people |
| 55 | Cambodia | 15.2per 1,000 people |
| 56 | Honduras | 15.1per 1,000 people |
| 57 | Solomon Islands | 14.8per 1,000 people |
| 58 | Eswatini | 14.7per 1,000 people |
| 59 | Nepal | 14.4per 1,000 people |
| 60 | Zimbabwe | 14.0per 1,000 people |
| 61 | Morocco | 13.2per 1,000 people |
| 62 | Kazakhstan | 13.0per 1,000 people |
| 63 | Philippines | 13.0per 1,000 people |
| 64 | Oman | 12.4per 1,000 people |
| 65 | Tunisia | 12.2per 1,000 people |
| 66 | Botswana | 12.0per 1,000 people |
| 67 | Peru | 11.8per 1,000 people |
| 68 | Paraguay | 11.6per 1,000 people |
| 69 | Dominican Republic | 11.2per 1,000 people |
| 70 | Vietnam | 11.0per 1,000 people |
| 71 | Colombia | 10.9per 1,000 people |
| 72 | Cyprus | 10.8per 1,000 people |
| 73 | Myanmar | 10.6per 1,000 people |
| 74 | Mexico | 10.5per 1,000 people |
| 75 | Algeria | 10.4per 1,000 people |
| 76 | Malaysia | 10.0per 1,000 people |
| 77 | Kuwait | 9.8per 1,000 people |
| 78 | Afghanistan | 9.5per 1,000 people |
| 79 | India | 9.4per 1,000 people |
| 80 | Saudi Arabia | 9.2per 1,000 people |
| 81 | Qatar | 9.0per 1,000 people |
| 82 | Haiti | 8.9per 1,000 people |
| 83 | Indonesia | 8.7per 1,000 people |
| 84 | Venezuela | 8.6per 1,000 people |
| 85 | Israel | 8.3per 1,000 people |
| 86 | Ecuador | 8.2per 1,000 people |
| 87 | El Salvador | 7.4per 1,000 people |
| 88 | Bulgaria | 7.2per 1,000 people |
| 89 | United Arab Emirates | 7.1per 1,000 people |
| 90 | Barbados | 7.0per 1,000 people |
| 91 | Türkiye | 6.8per 1,000 people |
| 92 | Panama | 6.7per 1,000 people |
| 93 | Trinidad and Tobago | 6.2per 1,000 people |
| 94 | Islamic Republic of Iran | 6.1per 1,000 people |
| 95 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 5.9per 1,000 people |
| 96 | Monaco | 5.8per 1,000 people |
| 97 | Australia | 5.4per 1,000 people |
| 98 | Suriname | 5.2per 1,000 people |
| 99 | Brazil | 5.1per 1,000 people |
| 100 | Costa Rica | 4.4per 1,000 people |
| 101 | South Africa | 4.2per 1,000 people |
| 102 | Ireland | 3.3per 1,000 people |
| 103 | Bangladesh | 3.2per 1,000 people |
| 104 | Mauritius | 2.7per 1,000 people |
| 105 | Sri Lanka | 2.6per 1,000 people |
| 106 | New Zealand | 2.5per 1,000 people |
| 107 | Canada | 2.0per 1,000 people |
| 108 | Iceland | 1.6per 1,000 people |
| 109 | United States of America | 1.5per 1,000 people |
| 110 | France | 1.2per 1,000 people |
| 111 | Sweden | 1.1per 1,000 people |
| 112 | Luxembourg | 1.0per 1,000 people |
| 113 | Thailand | 0.9per 1,000 people |
| 114 | Switzerland | 0.8per 1,000 people |
| 115 | United Kingdom | 0.7per 1,000 people |
| 116 | Uruguay | 0.7per 1,000 people |
| 117 | Singapore | 0.6per 1,000 people |
| 118 | Cuba | 0.3per 1,000 people |
| 119 | Netherlands | 0.2per 1,000 people |
| 120 | People's Republic of China | 0.1per 1,000 people |
| 121 | Norway | -0.4per 1,000 people |
| 122 | Denmark | -0.6per 1,000 people |
| 123 | North Korea | -0.6per 1,000 people |
| 124 | Chile | -0.9per 1,000 people |
| 125 | Lebanon | -0.9per 1,000 people |
| 126 | The Republic of North Macedonia | -1.9per 1,000 people |
| 127 | South Korea | -2.1per 1,000 people |
| 128 | Belgium | -2.6per 1,000 people |
| 129 | Germany | -3.2per 1,000 people |
| 130 | Spain | -3.5per 1,000 people |
| 131 | Georgia | -3.6per 1,000 people |
| 132 | Slovenia | -3.7per 1,000 people |
| 133 | Romania | -3.8per 1,000 people |
| 134 | Albania | -4.1per 1,000 people |
| 135 | Finland | -4.5per 1,000 people |
| 136 | Japan | -4.7per 1,000 people |
| 137 | Bahamas | -4.8per 1,000 people |
| 138 | Slovakia | -5.0per 1,000 people |
| 139 | Estonia | -5.1per 1,000 people |
| 140 | Croatia | -5.4per 1,000 people |
| 141 | Italy | -5.6per 1,000 people |
| 142 | Czech Republic | -5.7per 1,000 people |
| 143 | Argentina | -5.8per 1,000 people |
| 144 | Poland | -5.9per 1,000 people |
| 145 | Russian Federation | -6.2per 1,000 people |
| 146 | Austria | -6.3per 1,000 people |
| 147 | Moldova, Republic of | -6.9per 1,000 people |
| 148 | Greece | -7.0per 1,000 people |
| 149 | Montenegro | -7.2per 1,000 people |
| 150 | Armenia | -7.5per 1,000 people |
| 151 | Lithuania | -7.6per 1,000 people |
| 152 | Portugal | -7.8per 1,000 people |
| 153 | Serbia | -7.9per 1,000 people |
| 154 | Latvia | -8.1per 1,000 people |
| 155 | Hungary | -8.5per 1,000 people |
| 156 | Belarus | -8.7per 1,000 people |
| 157 | Ukraine | -10.9per 1,000 people |
Topics
Data Source
This data comes from United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA), Population Division (2023).
View Original Source